Welcome to Hot Streak Picks, your go-to source for expert sports betting insights. Tonight, UFC 313 takes center stage at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, bringing fight fans an electrifying card filled with high-stakes matchups. With Alex Pereira defending his light heavyweight title against Magomed Ankalaev, and an explosive co-main event between Justin Gaethje and Rafael Fiziev, the night promises non-stop action.
For those looking to get in on the betting action, prop bets offer an exciting way to maximize returns by predicting specific fight outcomes beyond just who wins. From knockouts, round totals, and method-of-victory wagers, we’ve analyzed the best betting opportunities for tonight’s card.
Read on for our top prop bet recommendations—including expert insights, trends, and potential value picks—to help you stay on a hot streak with your UFC betting!
Main Event: Alex Pereira vs. Magomed Ankalaev
Fight Outcome:
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Bet: Alex Pereira to Win by KO/TKO (+150)
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Analysis: Alex Pereira, the reigning Light Heavyweight champion, is renowned for his striking prowess, with his last four victories coming by way of knockout. Magomed Ankalaev, while a formidable opponent with a strong wrestling background, has shown a tendency to engage in stand-up exchanges. This inclination could play into Pereira’s strengths, making a KO/TKO victory for the champion a plausible outcome.
Total Rounds:
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Bet: Under 2.5 Rounds
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Analysis: Given the aggressive styles of both fighters and their high finishing rates, the bout is anticipated to conclude before reaching the halfway mark of the third round. Pereira’s knockout power combined with Ankalaev’s potential vulnerability in striking exchanges supports the likelihood of an early finish.
Co-Main Event: Justin Gaethje vs. Rafael Fiziev
Fight to Go the Distance:
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Bet: Yes
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Analysis: Both Justin Gaethje and Rafael Fiziev have demonstrated resilience and durability in their careers. Their previous encounter was a closely contested battle that went the distance. Considering their mutual respect and the stakes involved, a full three-round bout is a reasonable expectation.
Method of Victory:
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Bet: Rafael Fiziev to Win by Decision
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Analysis: Fiziev’s technical striking and defensive acumen could enable him to outpoint Gaethje over three rounds, leading to a decision victory. His ability to maintain distance and control the pace might neutralize Gaethje’s aggressive approach.
Featured Bout: Jalin Turner vs. Ignacio Bahamondes
Method of Victory:
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Bet: Ignacio Bahamondes to Win by KO/TKO
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Analysis: Bahamondes possesses notable striking skills, with recent performances showcasing his knockout power. Turner’s susceptibility to strikes, evidenced by previous knockout losses, makes this a viable prop bet.
Total Rounds:
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Bet: Under 1.5 Round
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Analysis: Both fighters have a propensity for early finishes, suggesting that this bout may not extend beyond the first round and a half. Their aggressive styles could lead to a swift conclusion.
Preliminary Card Highlight: Curtis Blaydes vs. Rizvan Kuniev
Method of Victory:
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Bet: Curtis Blaydes to Win by KO/TKO
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Analysis: Blaydes’ wrestling dominance often transitions into ground-and-pound scenarios, leading to stoppages. Kuniev, making his UFC debut, may struggle against Blaydes’ experience and pressure, increasing the likelihood of a KO/TKO finish.
Total Rounds:
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Bet: Under 2.5 Rounds
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Analysis: Given Blaydes’ track record of early finishes and Kuniev’s inexperience at this level, the fight is expected to end before the third round.
Parlay Opportunity:
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Bet: Parlay Alex Pereira to Win by KO/TKO and Curtis Blaydes to Win by KO/TKO
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Analysis: Combining these two method-of-victory bets offers an attractive payout, given the high probability of both outcomes based on the fighters’ histories and stylistic matchups.
Final Thoughts:
UFC 313 presents several prop betting opportunities that align with the fighters’ past performances and stylistic tendencies. Bettors are advised to consider these analyses while also accounting for any last-minute developments or changes. As always, engage in responsible betting practices and enjoy the electrifying action that UFC 313 promises to deliver.
Sources & Credits
These UFC 313 prop bet insights were based on analysis and odds sourced from:
- FanDuel (fanduel.com)
- DraftKings (draftkings.com)
- MMAMania (mmamania.com)
- MMA Fighting (mmafighting.com)
- Sportsbook Review (sportsbookreview.com)
- Sportsgamblingpodcast (sportsgamblingpodcast.com)
- Forbes Sports (forbes.com)
- TalkSport Betting (talksport.com)
These sources provided expert analysis, odds, and betting trends to help guide our best UFC 313 prop bets for tonight’s fights. As always, odds can shift leading up to fight night, so check your sportsbook for the latest updates before placing your bets!
Please remember to bet responsibly and consider all factors, including potential injuries and team strategies, before placing your wagers.